Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 26 13:23:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We are likely to see a lot of post-convention polling, including high-quality live-caller state and national polls, and I'd say it's pretty important for Trump that those show demonstrably tighter results than they did in June/July/early August. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It would have been nice to have a high-quality live caller poll sandwiched in between the conventions. And for all we know, it could have shown a big bounce for Biden. But that's a somewhat academic point because even if there had been a bounce, it might fade quickly anyway. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not like there's some magic inflection point, but being down say 3-4 points in the tipping point states (versus ~6 before) would be a lot more tenable. That's within the range you can make up at the debates and also within the range of a "normal-sized polling error". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated