Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 26 13:14:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So we're at kind of a weird place where if you're Biden, you neither have all that much reason to be worried (wouldn't lose sleep over a bunch of Change/CNBC & Trafalgar polls) *or* all that much reason to feel secure (not a lot of great high-quality state polls for you lately). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At the same time, there was a smattering of pre-convention live-caller state polls that weren't spectacular for Biden either, such as his being "only" +4 in Pennsylvania (Muhlenberg) and +4 in Wisconsin (Marquette) which were some pretty 2016-ish type numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It would have been nice to have a high-quality live caller poll sandwiched in between the conventions. And for all we know, it could have shown a big bounce for Biden. But that's a somewhat academic point because even if there had been a bounce, it might fade quickly anyway. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated