Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 26 12:43:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First, Biden does not appear to be getting much of a convention bounce. He's at +8.8 in our national poll average (still quite good) but that's only up from +8.4 before the conventions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's Electoral College win probability down a bit, to 70%, after some mediocre polls for him this morning. He had been hovering around 73% in recent days. So not a big shift, but worth a quick Twitter thread. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model expected pretty small bounces this year, but still it sees this small a slight net negative for Biden, as it adjusts polls taken during what's supposed to be Biden's convention bounce slightly downward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated