Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 23, 2021

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Tue Aug 25 13:56:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If I were Trump, I would in theory weight the reaching-out-to-swing-voters part much more heavily. His base is already with him, and will likely turn out no matter what he does. But, it also isn't a very large base, even with its advantages in the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

All conventions are a mix of reaching out to wavering voters and shoring up your base. The D convention, especially Biden's speech, was perhaps 65/35 in the reaching-out direction. Night 1 of the RNC was about 50/50. From the list of speakers, the rest of the RNC might be 35/65. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But in practice, Trump has an awfully tough sell with swing voters between the pandemic, the economy, and the fact that at least half the country thinks he's racist. Which explains why he's down 9 points in the polls, of course. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated