Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 24 20:55:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still, the summer peak for deaths per day was only about half as high as the spring peak, even though there were about twice as many cases (although some of that is increased testing; probably a 50% increase in true infections per https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've stopped doing the daily COVID threads, but it's worth noting the 7-day average death total finally fell back under 1,000 on Saturday after 26 straight days above that threshold. Still, it's been a quite stubborn number. Has fallen only to 983 from a summer peak of 1,142. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also likely that we're doing a better job of capturing deaths than we once were, with more states accounting for e.g. probable deaths. So if you were looking at excess mortality data instead, it might show an even bigger spring vs. summer gap. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2020 Hibernated