Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 20 18:03:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In Italy, for example, Lombardy (which was devastated in February/March) has had 72 cases/day so far in August, about the same as 74 cases/day in July. But the *rest* of Italy has had cases increase from 161/day in July to 342/day in August. https://t.co/3mA6RYQQON — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When people talk about "second waves" of COVID-19 within a country or a state, they need to look carefully at *where* within the country or state the cases are increasing. Often it's not the same places that were hit hard during the first wave. https://t.co/5hmnAZpgia — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This was also an issue in Louisiana, for example, where the "first wave" was largely concentrated in Orleans & Jefferson Parishes, and the "second wave" was largely concentrated *outside* of those parishes. https://t.co/mBLTulGLgU — PolitiTweet.org

And within states it's the same crazy variation. https://t.co/VlkOvofJo7 https://t.co/UOFvbZlyh5

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated