Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 20 15:23:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, there is decent (though not overwhelming) evidence that vote-by-mail increases turnout, which is a sign that this convenience matters. https://t.co/79VTeD2bPw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is the sort of analysis I was warning against yesterday. Vote-by-mail may result in higher rejection rates. But its convenience also means that as many or more people who intend to cast a ballot will in fact wind up casting a ballot. https://t.co/rdnJ0mN33J — PolitiTweet.org

#NEW I did some math & wrote a piece about what trouble with the USPS and vote-by-mail actually means in November.… https://t.co/mjxypz…

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while a partisan split in vote-by-mail increases *uncertainty*, it's hard to predict who might benefit from it on balance. If more D's are voting by mail, more D voters may have ballots rejected. But more R voters will have something come up on Election Day and fail to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated