Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 14 22:14:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D On Aug. 14, which was close to her high-water mark, we had Clinton projected to win by 9 points in PA, 11 in MI & WI, 6 in FL, 7 in NV. So if anything her margins were a bit bigger in the tipping-point states. https://t.co/ZH2fUH7E8i — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D I'm not saying they completely cancel out. But, it's a fairly modest effect net-net. I'm also not sure what you're trying to prove. We think it's a big mistake not to consider the effects that COVID and the huge economic disruption has on the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D Actually, let me amend that ... that's in polls-only. In polls-plus (more comparable to the 2020 version) she was at +5 in PA, +8 in WI, +8 in MI, +4 in NV, though only +2 in FL. But overall, that's pretty similar to if not a bit better than where we have Biden this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated