Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 14 13:56:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris I don't agree that the specification differences are small, especially if you look at the popular vote, which is a more straightforward calculation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In that sense, the best tip-off that the forecasts are different is they have Biden at 97% to win the popular vote, and have sometimes been as high as 98% (and 99% before they revised their model) whereas we are at 82%. You're getting up to 97-98%, you're getting VERY confident. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure whether people are too worried or not worried enough about the post office stuff. But it's the sort of thing where the more that people are worried, the less need there may need to be to worry, and vice versa, if that makes any sense. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated