Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 13 23:02:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just imagine what the Cuomo-Harris-MayorPete-AOC primary will be like on Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org

National 2024 Democratic primary poll: Cuomo 21% Harris 19% Buttigieg 16% AOC 9% Yang 8% Klobuchar 6% Booker 6% O'… https://t.co/8gROw2V3ac

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This sort of sums up some election forecasting debates, too. I tend to come at models from more of the "epi" perspective here, i.e. we start with observed reality, and now we just have to come up with the right math for it. But ideally you have a synthesis of both of these views. — PolitiTweet.org

Epis ask: "what are the patterns of contagion we're actually observing, and which known model do they fit?" Engine… https://t.co/Sbv9kBWRoL

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 1,163 Yesterday: 1,503 One week ago (8/7): 1,251 Newly reported cases T: 52K Y: 56K* 8/7: 54K Newly reported tests T: 881K Y: 658K* 8/7: 732K Positive test rate T: 5.9% Y: 8.5%* 8/7: 7.4% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated