Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 13 14:44:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This seems like good news on medium-term immunity, as it may be the first study that's followed patients for as long as it has (6 months). But of course it's not getting nearly as much media attention as those ¡AnTiBoDiEs FaDe AfTeR 3 MoNThS! headlines. https://t.co/aPUkPM0aqL https://t.co/p7Dv8oLyeo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thread and article on the awesome design behind our forecast. — PolitiTweet.org

They let me write for the site about how we made @NateSilver538's 2020 forecast model into pictures. You can read i… https://t.co/a5LX9ZQ9q5

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This sort of sums up some election forecasting debates, too. I tend to come at models from more of the "epi" perspective here, i.e. we start with observed reality, and now we just have to come up with the right math for it. But ideally you have a synthesis of both of these views. — PolitiTweet.org

Epis ask: "what are the patterns of contagion we're actually observing, and which known model do they fit?" Engine… https://t.co/Sbv9kBWRoL

Posted Aug. 13, 2020 Hibernated