Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 12 20:31:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not really much sign that the national polls are tightening, with Biden now back up +8.4, though I think you could argue that the recent round of state polls have been a bit better for Trump. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/v5bGS2qUN9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @SethS_D So if one poll weighted for education and 100 others did not, it would adjust the 100 polls toward that one poll? I'm not saying I dislike it, it's not that different than a house effects adjustment. Could be smart. But it does smack of fighting the last war a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've also run our forecast retroactively back to June. If you squint, It's shown a *very* modest improvement in Trump's chances over that period. But that's mostly because economic indicators have looked better lately, not the polls. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/ldK6pHTu4E — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated