Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 12 16:48:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemj10 I'm not sure what the problem is here. The NYT is saying she's a historically important VP selection. And if the model is saying a historic VP selection increases variance a teensy tiny bit relative to a generic white guy, that seems appropriate, at least in broad strokes? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro It would say very similar things about 2016 to what our 2016 model said. Might have been a bit less bouncy in places, but not a huge difference. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemj10 I'm also not sure how subjective is being defined here or what the pushback is, exactly. Models (especially on small samples) require judgement and expertise, and I've long railed against the idea that one should assume it's obvious what "the data says". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated