Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Aug 11 21:03:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, one new thing about our model, which launches TOMORROW! ... after major events (e.g. debates, VP picks) it will hedge a bit if there is polling movement to see if that movement can be sustained for a week or two. This should improve accuracy and cut down on the noise some. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the end, Harris is a fairly obvious choice for the reasons I discussed in my segment this weekend. I never really bought the notion that Biden would pluck a name out of obscurity when he has reasons to be risk-averse and not give voters another unknown. https://t.co/yZgxDV4GqT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Exactly the same thing would be said if the choice were Rice, Klobuchar, perhaps even Whitmer etc. And even Warren would have triggered objections from a small and non-representative but vocal faction of the left. — PolitiTweet.org

It's been clear for the past month that whoever Biden picked was going to disappoint the progressive wing of the pa… https://t.co/gb0lebAGft

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated