Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Tue Aug 11 20:22:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm guessing that Biden will win California now with this Harris pick. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason I harp on this so much too is that you *usually* get away with overconfident forecasts, i.e. if your model says something has a 98% chance of happening when it's really 75%, you'll still be right 75% of the time and will say "lol, what was Nate so worked up about?!?". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Amazing that @perrybaconjr was able to write this so quickly. https://t.co/1qHZyVW0Ij — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated