Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 10 18:25:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I would highly doubt that 20% of pollsters would say you can get away without weighting by race, conversely, except perhaps in a state where almost everybody is the same race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if 20% of expert pollsters have thought carefully about these problems, and concluded education weighting causes more trouble than it's worth and there are better ways around the problem, I'm highly inclined to let them have their (still quite small) 20% weight in my average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think the incentives toward accuracy are pretty decent. It's easy to compare polls to one another and also to compare them against the actual result. And pollsters make a lot of claims about their accuracy when soliciting new business. Plus there's professional pride, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Do they have strong incentives to be accurate? This has started to be the thing that worries me abou… https://t.co/tAi9jFLhnq

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated