Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Sun Aug 09 17:43:46 +0000 2020

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1,209

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But the empirically-driven intuitions that (1) elections tend to be close in a highly polarized era and (2) Trump w… https://t.co/8Ejv1GBvIC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, you can use a prior other than zero based on the economy or incumbency or what not if you want. Given re… https://t.co/uvycyuGz7z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Every election year is "fun" in its own way. This year's fun will come in the form of the general public likely thi… https://t.co/tRw62RLHON — PolitiTweet.org

All the non-journos I know are sure Biden will lose but don’t do a good job of justifying that underconfidence in h… https://t.co/dCmGREpe0C

Posted Aug. 9, 2020 Hibernated