Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 22:48:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonmladd @BrendanNyhan Also, from a comparativist standpoint, many world leaders have become *more* popular despite extremely poor economic data because they were perceived to handle COVID well, which also creates issues for economy-driven models. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonmladd @BrendanNyhan And if you plug in the before-and-after economic data into most of these models, they predict a much more radical change in Trump's standing (mostly sharply downward -- but in some cases sharply upward!) than actually occurred in the polls, where he only lost a couple of points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 1,176 Yesterday: 519 One week ago (7/28): 1,121 Newly reported cases T: 52K Y: 50K 7/28: 56K Newly reported tests T: 696K Y: 732K 7/28: 735K Positive test rate T: 7.4% Y: 6.8% 7/28: 7.6% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated