Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 17:24:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's still early, folks (although several of these were impacted by convention bounces). — PolitiTweet.org

The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 91 days until E-Day: 2020: Biden+8.0 2016: Clinton+7.4 2012: Obama… https://t.co/JYCDxdQQW4

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @chrislhayes: Allow me to translate: someone told him that he's scaring his elderly supporters in Florida away from vote-by-mail and it'… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing people may not realize, too, is that campaign time is bit nonlinear. Polls don't really get much more predictive in the 3 months from, say, June until August. Then maybe in the last 45-60 days of the campaign, you start to make pretty big accuracy gains. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated