Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 14:17:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Rather, it's COVID that's Trump's big problem, plus other stuff like his handling of the race relations, overall perceptions of his honesty/competence, etc. For the time being, with money in people's pockets, the economy is one of his lesser concerns. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, if negotiations for the next round of stimulus payments fall apart, that could present big risks for Trump. But I don't buy the story (from other models) that the economy is "dragging down" Trump or makes his re-election very unlikely on its own. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, I talk more about this on our podcast, where I rail a bit against the claim that elections heavily boil down to economic "fundamentals". https://t.co/V3U8lUoMC3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated