Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 14:10:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If it seems crazy to treat current economic conditions as tantamount to merely a mild-to-medium-sized recession, take a look at Trump's approval ratings on the economy. He still has 49% approval! He's actually (slightly) net positive! https://t.co/BvgKvmTa3x https://t.co/W5EbZ03cmk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Instead, with the government having put so much money in people's pockets, the index looks more like a league-average recession, which (since most indicators are now improving and/or expected to improve) is now become milder. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, if negotiations for the next round of stimulus payments fall apart, that could present big risks for Trump. But I don't buy the story (from other models) that the economy is "dragging down" Trump or makes his re-election very unlikely on its own. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated