Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 13:54:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think it should be underestimated how much the CARES Act and the fairly generous stimulus it provided has blunted the economic impact of COVID-19 for the average American. And this has relevance for some of the debate about how economic data is used to forecast elections. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No one bad take is dispositive—I certainly have had plenty of bad takes myself—but "Kanye West will have a huge impact on 2020" is one of those bad takes that ought to make one wearier of the taker's takes going forward. — PolitiTweet.org

By my count, @kanyewest will likely be disqualified from the general election debates within the week. https://t.co/SglGkxrCoc

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The economic index we use in our model has 6 components: —2 of them (inflation, stocks) have been basically "fine" despite coronavirus —3 (jobs, consumption, production) have been absolutely awful. —The 6th (disposable income) has been MUCH BETTER THAN USUAL because of CARES. https://t.co/nBXgTxYg2q — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated