Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Aug 02 14:44:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, I'd be careful about lumping these two together, though. Our model (yes, I know what it says now!) thinks North Carolina is 3-4x more likely to be the tipping point state than Georgia; that is to say, it figures into a few more scenarios than Georgia does. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A bit better for Biden than our polling average in each state. We have him up 2.2 in North Carolina and down 0.7 in Georgia. https://t.co/d4YZZdnRdo — PolitiTweet.org

Biden is up 4 points over Trump in North Carolina and up 1 point in Georgia. https://t.co/jlBnQAEubt

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Notably, these maps reflect cases where Biden could win on the basis of Florida + North Carolina (+ Arizona in one case) despite a 2016-style collapse in the Midwest. Although GA could substitute for NC in these cases, it's a redder state and more of a reach. https://t.co/bLL0knfymB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated