Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Wed Jul 29 21:33:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not a huge sample, but interesting that undecideds go 2:1 for Biden in this poll when required to make a choice, and I think this may have something to do with why we've seen large likely voter vs. registered voter splits in some recent polls. https://t.co/fDUK0aWIiw https://t.co/L0gdSg1B3t — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Concerns about "shy Trump voters"—which don't have a lot of support in the evidence—stem from the same place as the impulse to send reporters to diners in Ohio to interview Trump voters, i.e. anxiety among coastal elites that there's a hidden America they can't see or understand. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Namely, it seems like there are a lot of people who are not very politically engaged, but who are also pretty fed up with things. A lot of them probably won't vote, and so they tend to drop off if you use a likely voter screen. But if they do vote, it probably won't be for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated