Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Jul 29 16:45:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, if we get to the point where **everyone who wants a vaccine can get one in reasonably short order**, then we can start thinking about how to persuade more people to be vaccinated. But getting to that first point may not be easy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I have a few thoughts on this and similar polls that ask people if they'll get vaccinated. 1. In the medium run, the limiting factor is likely to be access and availability to the vaccine. — PolitiTweet.org

Thoughts? CBS survey on a Coronavirus vaccine: "The poll found that more than two third of Americans, 70%, would e… https://t.co/wj2vaibCtI

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2. Headlines on polls like these can sometimes be misleading by treating "not sure" responses as "no". You'll have a poll result like e.g. 40% yes, 20% no, 40% "need to learn more", and the headline will frame it as "only 40% will get vaccinated!" when really it's 40-80%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated