Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Wed Jul 29 00:30:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while Biden has a robust polling lead now, and a number of other things going for him, it's a little early to be all that confident about what is going to happen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At the end of the day, it's only July, there are a lot of unprecedented events happening, polling is more accurate than its critics think but probably *not* as accurate as it was in say 2004-2012—and if we wind up in a photo finish, Trump likely wins b/c of the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think part of it, too, is the pandemic warps people's sense of time (it certainly warps mine). November feels weirdly soon if you don't have the usual milestones and rhythms to ground yourself. But in political time, the final 99 days of the campaign are often an eternity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated