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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 15:41:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @galendruke: It is high season for VP speculation https://t.co/L9bu0HYQ5v — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model tries account for these correlations based on geographic and demographic factors. e.g., in some random number of simulations, Biden will do better than polls show among Hispanics or worse in the Midwest. So we'll add COVID to the list of factors that can create them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, here's a regression-based estimate of Biden's current standing in each state. This works by taking our state polling averages, and trying to figure out what differences there are from past elections based on regional or demographic variables (without overfitting the model). https://t.co/OEEGtBrQK6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated