Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other numbers are actually mildly encouraging. Two days in a row with the positive test rate at 7% after weeks at 8-9%. And the lowest new cases total since July 7, though still very high. Mondays are often slow, though, so the midweek numbers will tell the story. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other factor to consider in how COVID could affect election forecasts is that variation in state COVID rates could conceivably be a factor in support (or lack thereof) for Trump, which could create some unusual correlations. https://t.co/MVZOD5xlnn — PolitiTweet.org