Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 14:53:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @joshtpm The questions IMO for both Europe and the US Northeast are what happens when cooler weather forces people indoors, if immunity is short-lived (though I think that concern is generally a bit overblown), or fatigue erodes compliance with even moderate distancing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @joshtpm It's not clear to me we have fewer restrictions. Both the US Northeast and Europe would seem to demonstrate that a combination of *some* restrictions + mask-wearing + doing stuff outdoors in summer + 10-25% seroprevalence (depending on the metro) may be enough for suppression. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @NickRiccardi @joshtpm But the hot parts of Europe still generally have a culture of hanging out outdoors, and to the extent they are indoors, not having air conditioning. Warm weather per se may not be a problem for COVID transmission, and may in fact be helpful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated