Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2021

Created

Mon Jul 27 14:20:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I wish there was more explicit acknowledgment that one of the most persuasive rationales for continued distancing/lockdowns is indeed to buy time for technological improvements. Not just vaccines but also therapeutics, rapid tests, greater scientific understanding. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We try as much as possible to aim for *unconditional* forecasts, but of course there are some limits to this. We don't account for the chance that one candidate drops out, for instance. Our NBA playoff odds (pre-COVID) didn't account for the season being interrupted by COVID. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Without those technological improvements, then either lockdowns just *postpone* the inevitable (since no matter how diligent your lockdown, cases will start increasing again one you relax it) *or* you're basically arguing for indefinite lockdowns. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated