Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 00:54:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This report is actually ... not so bad by the (completely awful) standards of recent weeks. Cases down slightly week-over-week despite a lot of tests, making for the lowest positive test rate since July 5. Remains to be seen if this is the start of real improvement or a fluke. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 558 Yesterday: 1,037 One week ago (7/19): 526 Newly reported cases T: 62K Y: 65K 7/19: 65K Newly reported tests T: 856K Y: 798K 7/19: 799K Positive test rate T: 7.2% Y: 8.2% 7/19: 8.1% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically, the additional uncertainty introduced into an election forecast by COVID-19 falls into two buckets: 1) It means there's a lot of *news* and economic volatility. 2) It could screw with the mechanics of voting, vote-counting or polling in unpredictable ways. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated