Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2021

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Thu Jul 23 22:23:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As others have pointed out, there's also a pretty big split right now between live-caller polls, which show huge margins for Biden, and online polls, which show the race tightening a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Fox News's poll out tonight, we finally have enough Minnesota polls to show an average, and it shows Biden +11. So, no indication the protests have helped Trump out at all there. https://t.co/WfszY2xOvB https://t.co/5TmaRQvzy6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My basic priors are that online polls sometimes dampen real swings (by overly modeling their data) and that live polls sometime exaggerate them (because of non-response bias), so taking a mix probably isn't a bad idea. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated