Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Wed Jul 22 18:06:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously, any poll showing the Democrat up in Texas is a pretty good result for the Democrat, but if Quinnipiac has Biden up 1 in Texas when he's up 8-9 nationally (and more than that in Q-Pac's last national poll), it's nowhere near the tipping point. https://t.co/TMncRtcsWi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per @youyanggu, we could be looking at as few as 50,000 new infections per day (which would likely translate into something like 8K-10K detected cases given that many cases go undiagnosed) or as many as 550,000 infections (around 100K detected cases). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing that I think people miss is that the partisan lean of a state is slightly mean reverting. Say a state was an R+20 state eight years ago, and an R+10 state four years ago. You might expect it to be a swing state now, right? No. On average it'll be like an R+13. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020 Hibernated