Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Mon Jul 20 19:43:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A big part of why polling *averages* don't have a predictable bias (they miss in different directions in different years) is because different pollsters both overcompensate and undercompensate for their perceived mistakes in the last election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may be that some pollsters haven't fixed issues (e.g. education weighting) that led them to understate Trump's vote in 2016, but 2016 also created a market for some pretty spammy R-leaning polls with strong house effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 365 Yesterday: 523 One week ago (7/13): 327 Newly reported cases T: 58K Y: 64K 7/13: 58K Newly reported tests T: 735K Y: 769K 7/13: 722K Positive test rate T: 7.9% Y: 8.3% 7/13: 8.1% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2020 Hibernated