Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Sat Jul 18 22:18:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I try to avoid making any predictions in these threads. But I'll link to those made by others! The @youyanggu model expects deaths to continue to rise though early-mid August, although it could be more of a long plateau. https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1 https://t.co/39Ivhptz5q — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other metrics are a bit more equivocal; cases are increasing, but there are also more tests (though still huge shortages/backlogs/delays in many states) so the positive test rate is staying relatively constant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also in the spirit of not making predictions: I'd consider next week to be pretty important, data-wise. You can squint at this week's data one way and think we're headed to 100K+ cases/day. You can squint at it another way and see a plateau. More uncertainty than usual. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated