Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Wed Jul 15 21:40:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking Newly reported deaths Today: 855 Yesterday: 736 One week ago (7/8): 897 Newly reported cases T: 65K Y: 63K 7/8: 62K Newly reported tests T: 756K Y: 760K 7/8: 627K Positive test rate T: 8.6% Y: 8.3% 7/8: 9.9% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, most of the live-caller polls are listing results among registered voters; NOT yet likely voters. The likely voter polls may be a bit better for Trump. Our average (Biden +9.1) shows results on a likely-voter basis, meaning it adjusts registered-voter polls toward Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not much color to add. Everything pretty flat versus last week. A big question is *exactly* how much reported deaths lag reported cases, because different answers to that question would lead you to different conclusions about how much more you'd expect deaths to rise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated