Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Wed Jul 15 20:32:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's also a bit of tension between the "Trump support is understated because of enthusiasm" theory and the "Trump voters are too shamed to admit they support him" theory, both of which you hear versions of fairly often. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's just one poll. The average poll shows it closer. There's no evidence for the "too shamed to admit they support Trump" theory though. — PolitiTweet.org

More seriously, remember that this is just one poll, and a lot of the gap is probably just Trump supporters being t… https://t.co/HbNuDuOkTw

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of polls today! Our average shows Biden up by 9.1 points, which is similar to recent days. The live-caller polls have shown his lead growing, while the online polls have shown it steady/slightly decreasing, so it mostly events out. https://t.co/3BVg6fbI7K — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo