Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Tue Jul 14 21:56:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another tinge of OK-ish news: Positive test rates for the past two weeks look pretty flat. Here are the numbers from day to day. Today: 8.3% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 8.2% 9.1% 6.5% 8.1% 7.8% 8.3% July 1: 8.4% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Either way, deaths declined relative to last Tuesday—which is good-ish news since that hasn't been happening much lately. But remember, last Tuesday was the first day of heavy reporting after a 3-day weekend. So it's not entirely an apples-to-apples comparison. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, we'll see. One thing to keep in mind is that even if there is a plateau, it might be an awfully long and bumpy one since states may not be doing enough to actually flatten the curve. Arizona now has an estimated Rt of ~1 for example. You need to be <1 to see cases decrease. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo