Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Sun Jul 12 21:13:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There were quite a lot of tests reported today, particularly in Florida, and in some states, the positive test rate seems to be plateauing. But, so far optimism about plateaus has not "aged very well"; you'll think you've hit one, then you get some worse numbers the next day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While the number of deaths might seem comparatively low, Sundays are usually slow for reporting, and in fact this is the most deaths reported on a Sunday since 5/31. So, pretty bad news. With that said, we're still learning about the reporting patterns of the current hotspots. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plus, given how high current rates of infection are, plateaus are bad news. There were around 60K cases reported in Florida this week. And say we're catching around ~1/5 of infections. That means ~300K people per week getting infected in FL. Plateauing at 300K/week is not good! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 12, 2020 Hibernated