Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 16:08:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@No_Little_Plans @Crimealytics Because Rt declines are more people have gotten COVID and are (at least in the short run) immune. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart NYC is probably not the best place to look for the impact of [protests] [reopenings] [pretty much anything really] because ~25% seroprevalence dampens opportunities for the virus to spread. That's *not* to say it's achieved herd immunity yet but 25% can have a noticeable impact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If polls underestimated Trump to the same extent they did in 2016 (by ~3-ish points in the average swing state) then Biden would still win MI, WI, PA and FL in an election held today, and AZ, NC, OH and GA would be toss-ups. — PolitiTweet.org

🚨 DON’T BELIEVE THE POLLS showing a Biden blowout, Elissa Slotkin warns fellow Dems🚨 She thinks the data is dead… https://t.co/RkoS0U4Gel

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated