Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 13:54:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @onyxfish: ICYMI yesterday, this is a great thread on the design work @wiederkehra has been leading for our 2020 presidential forecast.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Trump winning scenarios probably involve some combination of coronavirus improving + some legit Biden scandal or other new development that helps him + some rehashes of 2016 (Electoral College help, polls being a bit off). Not crazy! Could happen! But not easy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart NYC is probably not the best place to look for the impact of [protests] [reopenings] [pretty much anything really] because ~25% seroprevalence dampens opportunities for the virus to spread. That's *not* to say it's achieved herd immunity yet but 25% can have a noticeable impact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated