Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Thu Jul 09 22:09:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's now 3 days in a row with death tolls elevated over the same day a week ago. And while lags from the holiday weekend (which featured low death tolls) may account for *some* of that, we've now more than made up for the low weekend numbers with high ones this week. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking Newly reported deaths Today: 867 Yesterday: 897 One week ago (7/2): 670 Newly reported cases T: 59K Y: 62K 7/2: 54K Newly reported tests T: 738K* Y: 627K 7/2: 662K Positive test rate T: 8.0% Y: 9.9% 7/2: 8.1% * record — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, yeah, Occam's Razor is that deaths are on the upswing. Even though the death *rate* will possibly be lower than it was for the spring cohort of cases, we're just getting so many more *cases* now that it will probably overcome any gains from a lower IFR. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated