Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Thu Jul 09 21:43:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, we're going to incorporate some of this in the model this year. While the effect of any one change in voting laws is usually fairly small, a party making a concerted effort to change laws could plausibly swing the partisan gravity of a state by 2-3 points, we find. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also likely that this makes some contribution to polarization. Republicans gain in a state, they pass laws to restrict voting, and that tends to facilitate further Republican gains. Or Democrats gain ground and make voting easier, as they recently have in states like CO/VA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The data we're using for this comes from this paper here, FWIW. https://t.co/PNL98ryVAI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated