Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Thu Jul 09 16:38:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While there can be some undulations from day to day, overall the numbers in New York have been very stable. NYC has averaged 307 cases per day this week, vs. 315/day in the week before that. Suburbs: 139/day this week vs. 137 last week Upstate: 206 this week vs. 197 last week. — PolitiTweet.org

Reasonably encouraging numbers out of New York: 584 new cases, positivity ticks down to .89%. 275 cases in New York… https://t.co/h91DdDMNGE

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, subtle but important. The error is not in "re-opening too soon" per se, but rather, in *not using the time under lockdown to accomplish very much*. These states didn't develop a sustainable medium-term (post-lockdown, pre-vaccine) plan. Federal government zero help either. — PolitiTweet.org

1. The huge spikes we've seen in TX, FL, and AZ are being blamed on "premature re-opening." I think the problem is… https://t.co/6A8mKIIS1M

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other thing to think about too is that although viral tests aren't generally thought to give a lot of false positives, when overall positivity rates are very low (<=1%), false positives are potentially a bigger issue, which can make it harder to interpret daily fluctuations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated