Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 5, 2020

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Tue Jul 07 15:18:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not meant to sound pessimistic. I actually think (as you can see in that thread) there's been a fair amount of good news as far as the long term goes (e.g. progress on vaccines and treatments), even though the medium term outlook is quite awful (in the US, at least). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

An important theme here is that almost all of the endgames for COVID involve gradual improvement (either in the number of people getting it, how deadly it is, or both) rather than some miraculous fix. — PolitiTweet.org

This felt like a realistic glimpse into the future: continuously better. Not one dramatic moment. No “life befor… https://t.co/UNI6jWXk43

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But it does mean that folks are going to have to get used to carefully monitoring the data, including not only the number of cases but their severity, and react accordingly, including difficult decisions about trade-offs, acceptable levels of risk, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated