Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 29, 2020

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Thu Jul 02 22:13:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other metrics were bad, though. The second straight day above 50K new cases. And while there's a fair amount of testing, the positive test rate has climbed to 8% after having been around 4-5% at the low point several weeks ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

† Last Thursday was weird because New Jersey decided to start counting probable deaths in its tally. Nothing wrong with that but it led to a large 1-day increase from deaths that mostly occurred some time ago. Ignoring that, deaths are roughly steady week-over-week (644 v. 647). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Will all these new cases result in more deaths? Here's one view: The @youyanggu model estimates there are *actually* around 200K! new symptomatic COVID-19 infections per day in the US. We're only capturing around 1/4 of these through testing, he estimates. https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2020 Hibernated