Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 29, 2020

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Tue Jun 30 22:29:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, I would caution against short term prediction. Once cases start going up and making a lot of news, people may become more cautious. And once they start going down, people may become more complacent. There are lags, of course. But there can be a see-saw effect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Tuesdays have a track record of being really heavy reporting days. But this one is more mixed. Deaths down again week over week (again, not sure how long I'd expect that to continue). We nearly set a record for new cases, though, although we also set a record for tests. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another issue is that (despite the record number of tests today) there is much more demand for testing in some of the worst-affected states, creating shortages and bottlenecks. That may make it harder to identify the slope of the curve, when there's a peak, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated