Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 22, 2020

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Sun Jun 28 19:32:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The combo of being able to shift most activities outdoors, 10-25% (depending on the metro area) seroprevalence and people generally being more conscientious because their areas had bad outbreaks before likely matters a LOT. NYC and Paris have all of those "tools". AZ does not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People in NYC and elsewhere in the Northeast are eating in outdoor bars and restaurants (indoors in places too) and the numbers in the NE generally look a lot like Europe's, which may not be a coincidence since they have similar climates (nice outside in June) and seroprevalence. — PolitiTweet.org

European countries are in full recovery mode, Europeans are eating in cafes, and we Americans have to be in Coronav… https://t.co/wZIpP1WEMu

Posted June 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. It's quite possible that the Northeast will have a second wave, either now or in the fall once doing things outdoors is less viable. But, the same is potentially true for Europe, also. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 28, 2020 Hibernated