Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 22, 2020

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Sat Jun 27 18:33:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Empirically it's generally best to treat unelected incumbents as open-seat races. — PolitiTweet.org

Also it has always struck me that the two incumbents who have mounted late comebacks—Truman and Ford—had not previo… https://t.co/g8jcBdQBuN

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Case numbers don't always have strong weekend/weekday effects. That's more an issue for deaths, which require additional layers of certification. Also, Saturday is basically a weekday since Sat. reports mostly reflect what happens on Fridays. So decent chance of a record today. — PolitiTweet.org

It's sobering to think that the only way the US #COVID19 case numbers won't hit another new record today is because… https://t.co/y108AYK8ej

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Don't have time to do the usual thread right now but @COVID19Tracking reports 43k! new cases out of 591k new tests, for a 7.4% positive rate. That compares to 32k new cases last Saturday. But 506 deaths reported today, down a bit from 621 last Saturday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated