Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 22, 2020

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Sat Jun 27 15:06:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's comparative strength among older voters pushes Florida closer to the tipping point and probably makes Texas more redundant. You can imagine that would be different though for a candidate trying to capitalize on youth turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe not, but I think Texas depends to some degree on what's happening in Florida, with which it's correlated in some ways but not others (much younger). You can imagine a world (perhaps not this one!) in which TX is a better target than FL for a Dem. https://t.co/4xjUeBRD98 — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 My thought on Texas is that it's so expensive that it's not worth this small chance.

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Case numbers don't always have strong weekend/weekday effects. That's more an issue for deaths, which require additional layers of certification. Also, Saturday is basically a weekday since Sat. reports mostly reflect what happens on Fridays. So decent chance of a record today. — PolitiTweet.org

It's sobering to think that the only way the US #COVID19 case numbers won't hit another new record today is because… https://t.co/y108AYK8ej

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated